HEAD-TO-HEAD
The last game between Union Berlin vs Freiburg | Prediction took place on May 18. Union managed to defeat Freiburg with a score of 2:1. Over the last 10 matches, the Berlin team won 5 times. There were also 3 draws and 2 victories for the “Brazilians of Breisgau.”
UNION BERLIN
Currently, the capital’s players occupy the 7th position in the Bundesliga standings. The team has 15 points after 9 rounds, which is a relatively good result: especially considering the opponents they have already faced. Yes, the defeat to Bayern (0:3) looks disappointing, but there are successes in matches against Borussia Dortmund (2:1), Leipzig (0:0), and Eintracht (1:1). Even if the opponent is not a top club, in most cases, the capital team plays defensively. Before the meeting with the Munich team, Union conceded only 5 goals. The current balance of goals scored and conceded (9:8) indicates a focus on defensive actions.
Looking at advanced statistics, one can highlight a very confident defense performed by the hosts. According to xG, there were moments created at Union’s goal amounting to 10.2 expected goals – only bettered by Bayern (6) and Freiburg (8.4). The hosts prefer to act with a deep defensive line. This negatively affects goals (9 scored with an xG of 8.6), but the Berliners’ style still brings decent results.
FREIBURG
The visiting team also doesn’t play overly attacking football. Currently, Freiburg continues to show a rather pragmatic game. As already noted, they have one of the best defensive metrics (xG at the visitors’ goal is 8.4) – opponents do not have many opportunities to create scoring chances. And conceding 11 goals in 9 matches is more a consequence of individual failures. The defeat to St. Pauli (0:3) was particularly memorable. Systematically, the team defends well, and it’s unlikely that there will be many dangerous situations at the “Brazilians of Breisgau” goal in the upcoming match.
In terms of attack, Freiburg is not as pragmatic as Union. The visitors have 13 goals in 9 matches. But we remind you of the specificity of the hosts’ game. Open football with an emphasis on attack is practically excluded in this situation. Breaking through the echeloned defense of the Berliners is very difficult. Especially in the context that the “Brazilians of Breisgau” are average in xG – creating chances for an average of 1.52 goals.
GOAL PREDICTION
A rather unexpected fact is that in 6 of Union’s last 7 home matches, both teams scored. Nevertheless, after the game with Bayern (0:3), the Berliners want to redeem themselves for their failure. Therefore, their level of concentration should be extremely high. Against teams playing defensively, Freiburg defends quite confidently. This was evident in the recent game with Mainz (0:0). We believe that Union Berlin vs Freiburg | Prediction will prioritize maintaining their own goal’s integrity. Hence, one should not expect an abundance of goals: we suggest total under 2.5.
CORNER PREDICTION
As a rule, pragmatic teams pay great attention to set pieces. The opponents in the upcoming match are no exception. In 11 out of Freiburg’s last 12 matches, they take at least 4 corners. In 12 out of Union’s last 14 games, there are at least 9 corners played. We don’t think players will have many chances to score from open play. Therefore, it makes sense to play total corners over 8.5.
EDITOR’S PREDICTION
Bookmakers cannot identify a clear favorite. The Berliners have a slight advantage in terms of odds, but one should expect game parity. Union will try to play as the second number and cover all zones in their typical manner. Freiburg, which plays slightly more offensively, should have more ball possession. However, the team may lack the skill to break through the opponent’s echeloned defense. We don’t think there will be many goals in this match. Even a score of 0:0 can be considered likely in such a situation. It makes sense to focus on total under 2.5 goals.
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Bet on Match Union vs Freiburg: Total goals Under(2.5)
